Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
QRO
2 - 3
TOL
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 1
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
QRO
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
JAG
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AME
3 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATS
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PAC
3 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
QRO
1 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |