Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 1
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 4
PAC
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PUM
4 - 1
QRO
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ATS
0 - 0
PUM
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 1
PUM
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 1
TIG
37%
27%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 5
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |