Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 1
TOL
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 2
SNL
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 2
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 3
CHI
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 2
PAC
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |