Toluca vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
0 - 0
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
PRI
3 - 2
TOL
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FIR
1 - 0
FAS
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FAS
1 - 1
ONC
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FAS
1 - 0
VIS
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
FAS
1 - 4
OLI
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 0
PRI
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |