Liga MX Finals Cl. PLAY OFFS. Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
JUA
1 - 0
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
MON
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIJ
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 3
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAZ
3 - 2
AUR
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
CAZ
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |