Toluca vs Atlante FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 0
PAC
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
UDG
0 - 0
TOL
17%
27%
55%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
MER
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atlante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MER
2 - 4
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
IRA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
PUM
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ALE
4 - 2
ATL
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 1
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |