Toluca vs Atlante FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 2
EST
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 3
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 1
NEC
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
LEO
2 - 1
ATL
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 1
PUM
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
CAZ
3 - 1
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ATL
0 - 1
REB
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |