Toluca Premier vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 0
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 3
QUE
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 0
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
TOL
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 3
GUA
33%
24%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
IRA
1 - 2
REB
64%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
TIA
2 - 2
IRA
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
IRA
3 - 3
TIA
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 0
IRA
22%
24%
53%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
IRA
3 - 2
ORI
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |