Tolosa CF vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
TOL
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 4
BTG
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
POR
6 - 0
TOL
69%
20%
11%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 2
AUR
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
5 - 0
TOL
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CDU
1 - 0
LEI
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
URD
0 - 3
CDU
36%
28%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDU
3 - 0
AFT
25%
25%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +4 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
CDU
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
CDU
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |