TOGB vs UDI '19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 2
TOG
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TOG
0 - 1
ORI
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
OJC
2 - 2
TOG
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TOG
0 - 4
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
TOG
3 - 3
MEE
32%
22%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
UDI '19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
OJC
3 - 1
UDI
51%
22%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MIN
2 - 3
UDI
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
UDI
1 - 2
MEE
47%
22%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
MOE
0 - 2
UDI
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 3
AWC
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |