Tochigi vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TOC
2 - 0
GIR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GAM
3 - 2
TOC
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
KAR
1 - 1
TOC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
JEF
2 - 1
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
TOC
1 - 0
EHI
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FAG
2 - 2
GIF
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
TOK
1 - 0
FAG
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FAG
2 - 1
SAG
15%
25%
60%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 4
VEN
12%
23%
65%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
MIT
1 - 1
FAG
64%
21%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |