Cup Kazakhstan . Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Tobol Kostanay vs FC Irtysh Pavlodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
FCI
1 - 1
TOB
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VOS
1 - 3
TOB
26%
26%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TOB
2 - 0
KAI
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KAI
4 - 1
TOB
24%
27%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
TOB
4 - 2
ATY
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
FCI
1 - 1
TOB
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCI
2 - 1
ZHE
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
FCI
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
3 - 1
FCI
48%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
FCI
3 - 1
AST
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |