Tlemcen vs USMM Hadjout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
RCR
1 - 0
TLE
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
TLE
0 - 0
ESK
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
FAK
1 - 0
TLE
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
TLE
1 - 0
BEJ
36%
28%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
MCS
1 - 2
TLE
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USMM Hadjout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
USM
1 - 1
MCS
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
USM
2 - 1
ABM
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
USC
1 - 0
USM
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
USM
1 - 1
OLY
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
USM
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |