Tlemcen vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CHL
3 - 0
TLE
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
EUL
2 - 1
TLE
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
TLE
1 - 1
AML
50%
24%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
TLE
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TLE
0 - 1
CAB
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
USM
0 - 0
ISM
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
USM
0 - 0
HAR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
USM
1 - 0
HAR
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
USM
3 - 2
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JSK
1 - 0
USM
38%
30%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |