Tivoli Gardens vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
MPA
4 - 1
TRI
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
TRI
3 - 1
MOL
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 1
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 0
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VER
0 - 1
TRI
27%
30%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 1
WAT
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 3
VIO
74%
18%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 0
WAT
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
WAT
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 0
LIO
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |