Tilbury vs Uxbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
SIT
0 - 1
TIL
41%
25%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
TIL
0 - 1
ERI
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
TIL
1 - 1
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FAF
9 - 2
TIL
82%
13%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 1
TIL
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Uxbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
BAE
2 - 0
UXB
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
UXB
5 - 0
BOR
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +4 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
UXB
5 - 0
ARL
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 2
UXB
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 2
UXB
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |