Tilbury vs Bury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+114%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MAL
1 - 2
TIL
81%
13%
7%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
YEL
0 - 2
TIL
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
TIL
3 - 0
HEY
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
TIL
1 - 1
WHI
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
TIL
5 - 3
CAN
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
HUL
3 - 3
BUR
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BUR
4 - 1
FEL
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
3 - 1
BUR
77%
16%
8%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HEY
1 - 0
BUR
49%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 1
CAN
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |