Tilbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 1
TIL
36%
21%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 2
TIL
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
TIL
1 - 0
BRE
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TIL
3 - 1
STA
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
TIL
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 2
MAL
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ROM
1 - 4
AVE
18%
20%
62%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
AVE
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 0
HUL
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
AVE
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |