Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WHI
0 - 2
TIL
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
TIL
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
TIL
2 - 0
DER
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
TIL
3 - 1
MAL
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
HEY
2 - 1
TIL
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
YEL
1 - 2
BRI
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
YEL
2 - 4
BRA
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
YEL
1 - 0
GRA
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOR
3 - 1
YEL
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
YEL
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |