First League Round 14

Tikvesh vs FK Vardar analysis

Tikvesh FK Vardar
57 ELO 68
18.4% Tilt 20.1%
3126º General ELO ranking 2444º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.9%
Tikvesh
25.6%
Draw
38.6%
FK Vardar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
Tikvesh
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.6%
Win probability
FK Vardar
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tikvesh
-16%
+84%
FK Vardar

ELO progression

Tikvesh
FK Vardar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tikvesh
Tikvesh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2002
BEL
Belasica
4 - 2
Tikvesh
TIK
67%
19%
14%
57 69 12 0
27 Oct. 2002
CEM
Cementarnica 55
0 - 2
Tikvesh
TIK
65%
20%
15%
55 69 14 +2
23 Oct. 2002
PEL
Pelister
3 - 2
Tikvesh
TIK
60%
22%
18%
56 64 8 -1
20 Oct. 2002
TIK
Tikvesh
2 - 0
Napredok Kičevo
NAP
37%
25%
37%
54 63 9 +2
06 Oct. 2002
RAB
Rabotnički
3 - 1
Tikvesh
TIK
70%
18%
12%
55 69 14 -1

Matches

FK Vardar
FK Vardar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2002
VAR
FK Vardar
3 - 1
Pelister
PEL
52%
24%
24%
68 65 3 0
27 Oct. 2002
NAP
Napredok Kičevo
3 - 1
FK Vardar
VAR
36%
26%
38%
69 61 8 -1
23 Oct. 2002
RAB
Rabotnički
1 - 2
FK Vardar
VAR
53%
24%
23%
69 69 0 0
20 Oct. 2002
VAR
FK Vardar
1 - 1
Sileks
SIL
50%
25%
26%
69 69 0 0
06 Oct. 2002
KUM
Kumanovo
1 - 4
FK Vardar
VAR
26%
26%
47%
69 56 13 0