Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 2
TIJ
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TIJ
0 - 0
CAZ
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
TIJ
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 3
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
TIJ
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 4
PAC
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 0
TOL
32%
28%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
TIG
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |