Tierra Firme vs Millenium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
TIE
4 - 3
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COS
3 - 1
TIE
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TIE
3 - 0
RIO
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VER
1 - 0
TIE
67%
21%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TIE
0 - 0
GEM
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Millenium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 1
OES
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
MIL
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 1
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 5
MIL
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |