Thurrock vs Havant & Waterlooville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DOV
1 - 0
THU
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
THU
1 - 4
HAV
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WES
1 - 3
THU
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
THU
1 - 2
STA
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 1
THU
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 0
MAI
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
THU
1 - 4
HAV
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 1
DOR
67%
19%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CHM
1 - 1
HAV
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
HAV
2 - 2
WEL
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |