Thurrock vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
THU
3 - 2
WOR
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
THU
3 - 2
DOR
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
NEE
2 - 1
THU
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
THU
0 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 1
THU
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BIL
6 - 1
BUR
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
DUL
1 - 3
BIL
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
LOW
1 - 2
BIL
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BIL
0 - 1
KIN
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NEE
1 - 2
BIL
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |