Thun vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
9º
6º
60
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 3
THU
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
THU
2 - 2
FCL
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
THU
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LAU
4 - 1
THU
44%
22%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
STA
3 - 4
WIL
40%
25%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 0
STA
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
STA
2 - 4
LAU
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
NEX
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
STA
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |