Thun vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
YOB
3 - 1
THU
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ZUR
2 - 4
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
THU
1 - 1
LAU
49%
23%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
STG
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
STG
1 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
YOB
2 - 0
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
STG
2 - 0
SCA
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |