Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
5º
2º
45
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 74 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
67% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
89.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
THU
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 2
THU
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
THU
3 - 1
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
NEX
4 - 0
THU
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 1
SCH
38%
25%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NEX
0 - 0
SIO
15%
22%
64%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |