Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 4
THU
11%
19%
70%
|
72 | 20 | 52 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
THU
1 - 0
GCZ
35%
26%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
NEX
3 - 3
FCL
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NEX
0 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LEM
0 - 2
NEX
22%
22%
56%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 2
NEX
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |