Three Bridges vs East Grinstead Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
18º
15º
43
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 67 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
66 | 66 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
65 | 65 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
57 | 57 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
39 | 39 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
38 | 38 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
36 | 36 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
31 | 31 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
28 | 28 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Three Bridges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
THR
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
THR
0 - 3
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
THR
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
THR
9 - 0
LEW
20%
21%
58%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +7 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LEW
1 - 1
THR
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
East Grinstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 0
LAN
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
EAS
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 1
SHE
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WRO
4 - 1
EAS
42%
24%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
BEC
3 - 1
EAS
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |