Thornaby vs Ashington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
62.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thornaby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
WHI
3 - 1
THO
61%
19%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
THO
1 - 3
NOR
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 0
THO
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
WES
4 - 0
THO
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 3
THO
57%
21%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ashington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
0 - 1
HEA
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
3 - 3
NEW
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KIN
3 - 1
ASH
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
2 - 1
TOW
84%
10%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
3 - 0
STO
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |