Thór vs Afturelding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 0
THO
61%
19%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
THO
2 - 0
HKK
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SEL
2 - 1
THO
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
THO
1 - 0
VES
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
GRI
1 - 2
THO
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Afturelding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
AFT
4 - 0
THR
79%
13%
7%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
AFT
4 - 1
KVR
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
GRO
4 - 2
AFT
52%
21%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
AFT
0 - 1
HKK
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 4
AFT
45%
24%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |