Thespa Gunma vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
JEF
1 - 2
THE
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
THE
1 - 1
ROA
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
THE
2 - 1
TOK
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GIF
1 - 1
THE
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
THE
0 - 1
MIT
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 2
JUB
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
EHI
0 - 0
TOC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 1
TOC
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 3
CER
22%
25%
52%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
KYO
1 - 2
TOC
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |