Thespa Gunma vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SAG
4 - 1
THE
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
THE
1 - 2
VEN
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
THE
0 - 0
MIT
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
YOK
1 - 0
THE
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
THE
0 - 2
VEG
22%
25%
54%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SHO
0 - 0
CON
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
MIT
0 - 1
SHO
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
SHO
1 - 2
AVI
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
VEG
2 - 0
SHO
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
SHO
0 - 0
KYO
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |