Thespa Gunma vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
TOK
3 - 1
THE
51%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
THE
1 - 2
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
THE
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
THE
1 - 0
FAG
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
THE
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
OMI
2 - 3
ALB
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
TOK
1 - 1
OMI
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
OMI
0 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JUB
3 - 2
OMI
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
OMI
0 - 1
EHI
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |