Thespa Gunma vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
THE
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
THE
1 - 2
VVA
26%
26%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
EHI
1 - 2
THE
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
THE
0 - 2
GIR
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ALB
3 - 1
THE
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 2
MIT
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
EHI
2 - 2
FAG
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 1
JUB
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
FAG
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
FAG
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |