Thespa Gunma vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
52.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOK
1 - 0
THE
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
URA
0 - 1
THE
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
VVA
2 - 0
THE
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
THE
0 - 0
TOC
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
REN
2 - 1
THE
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
YOK
2 - 0
ALB
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 0
BLA
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
OIT
1 - 2
ALB
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TOK
1 - 1
ALB
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 4
ROA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -2 |