The Strongest vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
STR
1 - 0
LAP
76%
14%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
STR
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
STR
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
STR
5 - 1
OPE
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
STR
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
LIN
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 4
SAN
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OES
85%
12%
4%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |