The Strongest vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
STR
4 - 0
MWA
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
STR
2 - 1
JWI
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
MWA
0 - 2
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
STR
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
STR
2 - 1
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 1
PET
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 0
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PET
5 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
STR
7 - 2
NAC
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |