The New Saints vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 1
TNS
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
2 - 1
TNS
2%
7%
91%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
TNS
11%
15%
74%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 1
TNS
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
GLE
3 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 0
CRU
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 1
GLE
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |