The Lakes vs Toowong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
GEO
1 - 2
TLA
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STO
0 - 1
TLA
10%
14%
76%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TLA
4 - 1
MGH
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 4
TLA
10%
15%
76%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TLA
0 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
1 - 0
GAP
77%
14%
10%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
1 - 3
NEW
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
STO
1 - 2
TOO
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GEO
4 - 1
TOO
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 1
TOO
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |