The Lakes vs The Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.9%
2.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WES
2 - 3
TLA
9%
15%
76%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TLA
7 - 1
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 5
TLA
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TLA
3 - 2
GEO
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BAY
5 - 0
TLA
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 5
WES
48%
20%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
GAP
76%
14%
11%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 2
BRK
30%
21%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
GAP
63%
19%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
GAP
1 - 3
TOO
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |