The Gap vs The Lakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
78.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 3
GEO
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 0
STO
29%
21%
50%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GAP
2 - 1
MGH
15%
18%
67%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 2
GAP
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 0
UNI
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TLA
2 - 2
ALB
22%
21%
58%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TLA
5 - 2
TOO
62%
18%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
TLA
1 - 5
WES
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 4
TLA
14%
17%
69%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
GEO
3 - 2
TLA
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |