FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 4-5
Thame United FC vs Leighton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thame United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
THA
2 - 2
NOR
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BED
2 - 1
THA
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 1
THA
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
THA
0 - 0
KID
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
YAX
2 - 1
THA
50%
20%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leighton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LEI
4 - 1
THO
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LEI
0 - 1
WOO
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 3
TUF
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LEI
4 - 0
OXH
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LEI
1 - 2
SIL
78%
14%
9%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |