Texoma FC vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+788%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
14º
16
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
26 | 53 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 42 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 37 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 36 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 42.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Texoma FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 1
TFC
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
TFC
3 - 2
CHA
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 2
TOR
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | +5 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 2
TFC
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
TFC
1 - 0
GTR
17%
21%
62%
|
11 | 61 | 50 | +1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 2
WES
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPV
2 - 1
FMA
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
FMA
0 - 1
OMA
20%
26%
55%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 1
PHP
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
WES
1 - 1
FMA
19%
23%
59%
|
61 | 12 | 49 | 0 |