Termoli Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Termoli Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CIV
0 - 2
TER
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TER
0 - 0
AMI
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
62%
21%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
REC
1 - 2
TER
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
OLY
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
OLY
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAN
3 - 0
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
SSS
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GIU
2 - 2
FER
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
MAC
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |