Surkhon Termez vs Sogdiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
12º
7º
27
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
TER
4 - 0
QOQ
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 0
TER
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TER
1 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
TER
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TER
2 - 2
NEF
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sogdiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DOS
0 - 5
SOG
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 2
NAS
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 2
ORO
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 2
SOG
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 0
FKT
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |