Surkhon Termez vs Dinamo Samarqand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
14º
10º
13
8º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 23 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 23 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 22 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 22 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 20 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 20 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 18 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 16 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 10 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 10 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 2
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TER
6 - 0
LOK
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 2
TER
10%
17%
74%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TER
0 - 0
FKO
34%
22%
44%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TER
2 - 1
OLM
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DSA
1 - 1
NAV
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DSA
3 - 3
NAS
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AND
2 - 2
DSA
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 0
DSA
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
DSA
2 - 1
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |