Liga de Expansión MX - Clausura Round 4

Tepatitlán FC vs Tlaxcala FC analysis

Tepatitlán FC Tlaxcala FC
69 ELO 62
1.4% Tilt -3.2%
1391º General ELO ranking 2568º
33º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
59.2%
Tepatitlán FC
23.4%
Draw
17.4%
Tlaxcala FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
Tepatitlán FC
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.3%
Win probability
Tlaxcala FC
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tepatitlán FC
+34%
-4%
Tlaxcala FC

ELO progression

Tepatitlán FC
Tlaxcala FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tepatitlán FC
Tepatitlán FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2022
TEM
Tepatitlán FC
1 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
62%
22%
16%
69 60 9 0
07 Jan. 2022
TOR
Celaya
1 - 1
Tepatitlán FC
TEM
41%
28%
31%
68 69 1 +1
05 Dec. 2021
DOR
Dorados
1 - 0
Tepatitlán FC
TEM
51%
25%
24%
69 72 3 -1
02 Dec. 2021
TEM
Tepatitlán FC
0 - 1
Dorados
DOR
40%
26%
34%
70 71 1 -1
24 Nov. 2021
SPT
Pumas Tabasco
0 - 1
Tepatitlán FC
TEM
31%
29%
41%
69 62 7 +1

Matches

Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2022
TIA
Tlaxcala FC
1 - 0
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
33%
27%
40%
60 66 6 0
13 Jan. 2022
ATL
Atlante FC
1 - 1
Tlaxcala FC
TIA
63%
23%
13%
60 73 13 0
10 Jan. 2022
TIA
Tlaxcala FC
0 - 4
CA Morelia
MOR
21%
25%
55%
61 73 12 -1
17 Nov. 2021
TIA
Tlaxcala FC
0 - 2
Mineros de Zacatecas
ZAC
26%
25%
49%
61 69 8 0
10 Nov. 2021
MOR
CA Morelia
1 - 3
Tlaxcala FC
TIA
75%
17%
9%
59 75 16 +2