Segunda B Playoffs . Final
Global 1-3
Tenerife vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
CDT
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 2
BAL
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
CDT
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 1
BAD
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BAD
1 - 1
CDT
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
CDT
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
PON
3 - 0
LUC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
PON
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
RJA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |