Toledo EC vs Inter Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
ISM
1 - 1
TCW
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
TCW
2 - 0
ENG
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
TCW
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TCW
1 - 0
ATP
13%
19%
68%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ATP
1 - 0
TCW
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
ISM
1 - 1
TCW
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
ISM
1 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
ENG
1 - 0
ISM
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ISM
2 - 4
JUV
27%
25%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 1
ISM
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |